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Module ST3456: Modern statistical methods II
- Credit weighting (ECTS)
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5 credits
- Semester/term taught
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Hilary term 2012-13
- Contact Hours
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11 weeks, 3 lectures including tutorials per week
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- Lecturer
- Professor Simon Wilson
- Learning Outcomes
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On successful completion of this module students should be able to
- Derive the structure function from the structure diagram of a system;
- Prove results on system reliability in terms of the reliability of their components;
- Define and interpret the failure rate and derive the survival function from it;
- Fit lifetime distributions to data, including censored data;
- Calculate non-parametric estimates of the survival function;
- Calculate various exceedances and the distribution of the maxima and minima of a sequence of random variables;
- State the extreme value theorem and apply it to derive approximate distributions of extremes;
- Use the bootstrap (both parametric and non-parametric) and jacknife to derive approximate confidence intervals and bias of estimates;
- State the advantages and disadvantages of the bootstrap and jacknife;
- Module Content
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- Survival Analysis: systems of components, reliability of systems, failure rate, lifetime distributions, inference, censoring;
- Extreme Value Theory: modelling extrema, extreme value theorem, inference, extrema under non-random and random censoring;
- The Bootstrap: review of Monte Carlo simulation, the jacknife, the simple bootstrap, extensions;
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- Module Prerequisite
- ST2351
- Recommended Reading
- Barlow, R.E. and Proschan, F. (1981), Statistical Theory of Reliability and Life Testing, 2nd edition. To Begin With.
- Crowder, M.J., Kimber, A.C., Smith, R.L. and Sweeting, T.J. (1991), Statistical Analysis of Reliability Data. Chapman & Hall
- Reiss, R-D and thomas, M. (1991), Statistical Analysis of Extreme Values.
- Efron, B. and Tibshirani, R. (1994), An Introduction to The Bootstrap, Chapman & Hall
- Tanner, M. (1997), Tools For Statistical Inference. Springer
- Assessment Detail
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This module will be examined jointly with ST3455
in a 3-hour examination in Trinity term,
except that those taking just one of the
two modules will have a 2 hour examination.