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Data

Some of the conceptual difficulties experienced when attempting to model this phenomenon and analyse the data were in part due to jumping to conclusions when presented with data. In the literature the total length of cracks is commonly analysed. This is how the data was analysed for the growth model. When turning the focus to the coalescence problem the initial raw data that was received from the engineers was reordered, after some consideration, as described in Table gif. Then the data tex2html_wrap_inline2855 are a collection of lengths tex2html_wrap_inline3191 for each crack i, of a total of I cracks, observed at some or all of the times tex2html_wrap_inline3197 . Not all cracks existed at all times, that is, it was possible that the cracks had been involved in coalescence, in which case, the later timepoints would not be relevant, or that the crack had not yet been formed, in which case the earlier timepoints might not be relevant. For the subset of the data included in Table gif there are three cracks, and four timepoints. The data consist of;

equation1175

since the first and second crack coalesce between the first and second timepoint. When the 200kN data is so arranged an alternative plot of the data, as compared with Figure gif is obtained. This is plotted in Figure gif.

  figure1185
Figure: Plot of 200kN Data, Coalescence Taken into Account  

Thus, the number of coalescences, the time interval during which the coalescences took place, the lengths of cracks at the observation time before and after coalescence, together with the details of which crack coalesced with which, form the set of data. Clearly, one may be interested in the context of the modelling problem in the actual time of coalescence and the lengths at coalescence, and while these are not observed, it is still possible to make probability statements about them.


next up previous contents
Next: Model Up: Combining Coalescence and Growth Previous: Background

Cathal Walsh
Sat Jan 22 17:09:53 GMT 2000