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Kernel Density Estimation

Kernel density estimation consists of estimating a posterior density for a function of interest, using samples from the posterior, often drawn using one of the numerical techniques. Let tex2html_wrap_inline2125 be samples from the posterior distribution tex2html_wrap_inline2121 . If one is interested in the properties of the posterior density function tex2html_wrap_inline2129 , where conditional on tex2html_wrap_inline2131 , X is independent of tex2html_wrap_inline2135 , that is tex2html_wrap_inline2137 , the following result is useful;

eqnarray209

This expected value may be approximated in the usual fashion, as a simple numerical average of the values of the function at each of the sample points. That is using tex2html_wrap_inline2139 given by

equation219

The fact that tex2html_wrap_inline2139 is a density function follows from the fact that each of the tex2html_wrap_inline2143 is a density function. Kernel density estimation is a standard method of examining posterior distributions, and properties of functions of the parameters.



Cathal Walsh
Sat Jan 22 17:09:53 GMT 2000