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Results

The posterior distribution for the rate, tex2html_wrap_inline3223 is plotted in Figure gif. The trace for tex2html_wrap_inline3257 and a histogram of samples for tex2html_wrap_inline3259 are given in Figure gif and Figure gif. The value of the sum of lengths of cracks before coalescence is 1014, which is far larger than any of the samples from the posterior. The trace for tex2html_wrap_inline3257 is consistent with a uniform[35,40].

  figure1269
Figure: Prior (dotted) and Posterior Distributions for Rate, tex2html_wrap_inline3223 .  

  figure1276
Figure: Samples from the Posterior Distribution of tex2html_wrap_inline3257 for a Single Crack.  

  figure1283
Figure: Histogram of Samples from Posterior of tex2html_wrap_inline3259 for Crack d1ea.  



Cathal Walsh
Sat Jan 22 17:09:53 GMT 2000