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Empirical Stochastic Parameterisation

There are many ways to incorporate a probabilistic aspect into a so-called deterministic model. One way to do this is to add random noise to the model. Another way is to associate a random distribution with the model parameters. Yang et. al. (1983) [58] demonstrate this for a hyperbolic crack growth rate function. A quick overview of the method demonstrates the idea.

Given the crack growth equation;

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one can add in a random element in two ways. The first is to add a Gaussian random process, Z(X). The crack growth equation then becomes

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The task then remains to evaluate the precise form that Z(X) might take.

The next is to consider tex2html_wrap_inline2017 , tex2html_wrap_inline2019 , and tex2html_wrap_inline2021 as random variables. In this case the equation would take the same form as Equation gif, where the coefficients are considered to be random quantities.



Cathal Walsh
Sat Jan 22 17:09:53 GMT 2000