diagrams:
failures for 6 months. Parrameters [.5 .1 .3]
failure rate Parrameters [.5 .1 .3]
Plot of $pf_0$ against $(\lambda_1+\lambda_2)$

figure (\ref{al1}) is a plot of $\Lambda(i)$ against $i$ for $\alpha = ??$ - maybe surface plot?

histogram of 1e6 deviates from Gamma(?,?)

examples of normal plot on top of hist of fails in a month.

What needs to be done...

plots (tonight)

more rigorous on the bayesian inference

write up lyapunov (tonight)

run simulations (tonight)

write up stability

write up about prior

independence of $K_ij$

testing model	(some tonight)
	cross validation
	some bayesian diagnostics
	cross validation

Abstract

more rigorous monte carlo methods

eliciting gamma paras (tonight)

TONIGHT
	plots
	write up lyapunov
	run simulations
	testing model
	eliciting prior

Tomorrow
	Write up prior
	Write up stability
	Write p More rigorous monte carlo
	write up more rigorous bayesian inference