% output from running outline with KK=250000, MM=25000, p=[.05,.01,.5]
>> post_pred

p =

    0.0500    0.0100    0.5000

#failed in month I+1, #predicted, 2*SD

ans =

  147.0000  162.7615   25.1527

>> sort_disp
true -- lower - expected - upper for lambda1

ans =

    0.0500    0.0657    0.0655    0.0657

true -- lower - expected - upper for lambda2

ans =

    0.0100    0.0176    0.0176    0.0176

true -- lower - expected - upper for alpha

ans =

    0.5000    1.5163    1.5205    1.5163

>> 