As mentioned above, the agent which causes fatigue is crack growth and propagation through a material.
The process of fatigue can be considered to consist of five steps;
Much work has previously been done on modelling crack growth behaviour, the great majority of this having been done for long cracks. The general cause of failure is a single crack growing exponentially. However, a substantial portion of the total time to failure can be spent in the short crack phase of development, and this needs to be taken into account in any estimation of reliability.
It is with this in mind that a study of microcrack propagation was undertaken. A Bayesian framework provides many practical advantages for this investigation. No previous Bayesian modelling of this problem has appeared in the literature.