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Can the Adaptive Metropolis Algorithm Collapse Without the Covariance Lower Bound?


 
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1. Title Title of document Can the Adaptive Metropolis Algorithm Collapse Without the Covariance Lower Bound?
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Matti Vihola; University of Jyväskylä; Finland
 
3. Subject Discipline(s)
 
3. Subject Keyword(s) adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo; Metropolis algorithm; stability; stochastic approximation
 
3. Subject Subject classification 65C40; 60J27; 93E15; 93E35
 
4. Description Abstract The Adaptive Metropolis (AM) algorithm is based on the symmetric random-walk Metropolis algorithm. The proposal distribution has the following time-dependent covariance matrix, at step $n+1$, $S_n=\mathrm{Cov}(X_1,\ldots,X_n)+\varepsilon I$, that is, the sample covariance matrix of the history of the chain plus a (small) constant $\varepsilon>0$ multiple of the identity matrix $I$ . The lower bound on the eigenvalues of $S_n$ induced by the factor $\varepsilon I$ is theoretically convenient, but practically cumbersome, as a good value for the parameter $\varepsilon$ may not always be easy to choose. This article considers variants of the AM algorithm that do not explicitly bound the eigenvalues of $S_n$ away from zero. The behaviour of $S_n$ is studied in detail, indicating that the eigenvalues of $S_n$ do not tend to collapse to zero in general. In dimension one, it is shown that $S_n$ is bounded away from zero if the logarithmic target density is uniformly continuous. For a modification of the AM algorithm including an additional fixed component in the proposal distribution, the eigenvalues of $S_n$ are shown to stay away from zero with a practically non-restrictive condition. This result implies a strong law of large numbers for super-exponentially decaying target distributions with regular contours.
 
5. Publisher Organizing agency, location
 
6. Contributor Sponsor(s) Academy of Finland; Finnish Academy of Science and Letters, Vilho, Yrjö and Kalle Väisälä Foundation;Finnish Centre of Excellence in Analysis and Dynamics Research; Finnish Graduate School in Stochastics and Statistics
 
7. Date (YYYY-MM-DD) 2011-01-02
 
8. Type Status & genre Peer-reviewed Article
 
8. Type Type
 
9. Format File format PDF
 
10. Identifier Uniform Resource Identifier http://ejp.ejpecp.org/article/view/840
 
10. Identifier Digital Object Identifier 10.1214/EJP.v16-840
 
11. Source Journal/conference title; vol., no. (year) Electronic Journal of Probability; Vol 16
 
12. Language English=en
 
14. Coverage Geo-spatial location, chronological period, research sample (gender, age, etc.)
 
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