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Uniformly Accurate Quantile Bounds Via The Truncated Moment Generating Function: The Symmetric Case


 
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1. Title Title of document Uniformly Accurate Quantile Bounds Via The Truncated Moment Generating Function: The Symmetric Case
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Michael J Klass; University of California Departments of Mathematics and Statistics Berkeley, CA
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Krzysztof Nowicki; Lund University Department of Statistics Box 743 S-220 07 Lund, Sweden
 
3. Subject Discipline(s)
 
3. Subject Keyword(s) Sum of independent rv's, tail distributions, tail distributions,tail probabilities, quantile approximation, Hoffmann-Jo rgensen/Klass-Nowicki Inequality
 
3. Subject Subject classification Primary 60G50, 60E15, 46E30; secondary 46B09
 
4. Description Abstract Let $X_1, X_2, \dots$ be independent and symmetric random variables such that $S_n = X_1 + \cdots + X_n$ converges to a finite valued random variable $S$ a.s. and let $S^* = \sup_{1 \leq n \leq \infty} S_n$ (which is finite a.s.). We construct upper and lower bounds for $s_y$ and $s_y^*$, the upper $1/y$-th quantile of $S_y$ and $S^*$, respectively. Our approximations rely on an explicitly computable quantity $\underline q_y$ for which we prove that $$\frac 1 2 \underline q_{y/2} < s_y^* < 2 \underline q_{2y} \quad \text{ and } \quad \frac 1 2 \underline q_{ (y/4) ( 1 + \sqrt{ 1 - 8/y})} < s_y < 2 \underline q_{2y}. $$ The RHS's hold for $y \geq 2$ and the LHS's for $y \geq 94$ and $y \geq 97$, respectively. Although our results are derived primarily for symmetric random variables, they apply to non-negative variates and extend to an absolute value of a sum of independent but otherwise arbitrary random variables.
 
5. Publisher Organizing agency, location
 
6. Contributor Sponsor(s) NSF
 
7. Date (YYYY-MM-DD) 2007-10-16
 
8. Type Status & genre Peer-reviewed Article
 
8. Type Type
 
9. Format File format PDF
 
10. Identifier Uniform Resource Identifier http://ejp.ejpecp.org/article/view/452
 
10. Identifier Digital Object Identifier 10.1214/EJP.v12-452
 
11. Source Journal/conference title; vol., no. (year) Electronic Journal of Probability; Vol 12
 
12. Language English=en
 
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