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Occupation laws for some time-nonhomogeneous Markov chains


 
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1. Title Title of document Occupation laws for some time-nonhomogeneous Markov chains
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Zach Dietz; Tulane University
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Sunder Sethuraman; Iowa State University
 
3. Subject Discipline(s)
 
3. Subject Keyword(s) laws of large numbers, nonhomogeneous, Markov, occupation, reinforcement, Dirichlet distribution.
 
3. Subject Subject classification Primary 60J10; secondary 60F10
 
4. Description Abstract

We consider finite-state time-nonhomogeneous Markov chains whose transition matrix at time $n$ is $I+G/n^z$ where $G$ is a ``generator'' matrix, that is $G(i,j)>0$ for $i,j$ distinct, and $G(i,i)= -\sum_{k\ne i} G(i,k)$, and $z>0$ is a strength parameter. In these chains, as time grows, the positions are less and less likely to change, and so form simple models of age-dependent time-reinforcing schemes. These chains, however, exhibit a trichotomy of occupation behaviors depending on parameters.

We show that the average occupation or empirical distribution vector up to time $n$, when variously $0< z< 1$, $z>1$ or $z=1$, converges in probability to a unique ``stationary'' vector $n_G$, converges in law to a nontrivial mixture of point measures, or converges in law to a distribution $m_G$ with no atoms and full support on a simplex respectively, as $n$ tends to infinity. This last type of limit can be interpreted as a sort of ``spreading'' between the cases $0< z < 1$ and $z>1$.

In particular, when $G$ is appropriately chosen, $m_G$ is a Dirichlet distribution, reminiscent of results in Polya urns.

 
5. Publisher Organizing agency, location
 
6. Contributor Sponsor(s) NSF, NSA
 
7. Date (YYYY-MM-DD) 2007-05-16
 
8. Type Status & genre Peer-reviewed Article
 
8. Type Type
 
9. Format File format PDF
 
10. Identifier Uniform Resource Identifier http://ejp.ejpecp.org/article/view/413
 
10. Identifier Digital Object Identifier 10.1214/EJP.v12-413
 
11. Source Journal/conference title; vol., no. (year) Electronic Journal of Probability; Vol 12
 
12. Language English=en
 
14. Coverage Geo-spatial location, chronological period, research sample (gender, age, etc.)
 
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