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On predicting the ultimate maximum for exponential Lévy processes


 
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1. Title Title of document On predicting the ultimate maximum for exponential Lévy processes
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Katsunori Ano; Shibaura Institute of Technology, Tokyo; Japan
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Roman Ivanov; Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences of RAS, Moscow; Russian Federation
 
3. Subject Discipline(s)
 
3. Subject Keyword(s) optimal stopping; exponential Lévy process; predicting; selling of asset; utility function
 
3. Subject Subject classification 60G25; 60G51; 60G70
 
4. Description Abstract

We consider a problem of predicting of the ultimate maximum  of the process over a finite interval of time. Mathematically, this problem relates to a particular optimal stopping problem. In this paper we discuss exponential Lévy processes. As the Lévy processes, we discuss $\alpha$-stable Lévy processes, $0<\alpha\leq 2$,  and generalized hyperbolic Lévy processes. The method of solution uses the representations of these processes as time-changed Brownian motions with drift. Our results generalize results of papers by Toit and Peskir and by Shiryaev and Xu, and Zhou.

 
5. Publisher Organizing agency, location
 
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7. Date (YYYY-MM-DD) 2012-10-07
 
8. Type Status & genre Peer-reviewed Article
 
8. Type Type
 
9. Format File format PDF
 
10. Identifier Uniform Resource Identifier http://ecp.ejpecp.org/article/view/1805
 
10. Identifier Digital Object Identifier 10.1214/ECP.v17-1805
 
11. Source Journal/conference title; vol., no. (year) Electronic Communications in Probability; Vol 17
 
12. Language English=en en
 
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